Fortnite · Treasure Hunters
Fortnite Chest Counter
The Pirate Shop Access token drops 1 in 137,500 chests in a normal match and 1 in 91,667 during Treasure Hours. There is no pity timer, so the useful number is your cumulative chance after the chests you have already opened — that is what this counter calculates.
1 : 137,500
Per chest, normal match
primary
1 : 91,667
Per chest, Treasure Hours
0.00109% each roll
95,308
Chests for a 50% chance
Normal rate, independent rolls
Chest counter
Tap once per chest you open. Progress stays in this browser.
Your cumulative chance
0%
Enter chests opened to see the probability of at least one token.
- To reach 50%
- —
- To reach 90%
- —
| Chests | Normal | Treasure Hours |
|---|---|---|
| 10,000 | 7.0146% | 10.3351% |
| 50,000 | 30.4857% | 42.0422% |
| 100,000 | 51.6776% | 66.4090% |
| 250,000 | 83.7680% | 93.4603% |
| 500,000 | 97.3652% | 99.5723% |
| 1,000,000 | 99.9306% | 99.9982% |
| Target | Normal | Treasure Hours |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | 39,557 | 26,371 |
| 50% | 95,308 | 63,539 |
| 75% | 190,615 | 127,077 |
| 90% | 316,605 | 211,070 |
| 95% | 411,912 | 274,609 |
| 99% | 633,209 | 422,140 |
| Prize | Odds per chest | Chance each roll | Chests for 50% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly gold outfit | 1 : 1,562,500 | 0.00006% | 1,083,043 |
| Pirate Shop Access Tokentracked here | 1 : 137,500 | 0.00073% | 95,308 |
| Weekly vehicle and decal | 1 : 7,813 | 0.01280% | 5,416 |
| Weekly pickaxe or back bling | 1 : 568 | 0.17606% | 394 |
| Weekly Jam Track | 1 : 391 | 0.25575% | 271 |
| Weekly loading screen | 1 : 272 | 0.36765% | 189 |
| Any gizmo | 1 : 127 | 0.78740% | 88 |
Every row here is Epic's own table, transcribed from IGN, fnchesttracker.com and togame.io; the two right-hand columns are this page's maths on those numbers, not theirs. The rarest row is the weekly gold outfit: a single roll is 0.00006%, and a 50% chance needs 1,083,043 chests — more than the entire mode offers anyone farming full time.
| Prize | Boost | Odds in window | Chests for 50% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pirate Shop Access | 1.5x | 1 : 91,667 | 63,539from 95,308 |
| Weekly gold outfit | 7.5x | 1 : 208,333 | 144,406from 1,083,043 |
| Weekly vehicle and decal | 10x | 1 : 781 | 542from 5,416 |
Epic gave these as the multipliers for the window running the night it posted, and said later windows may use different ones. Any prize not listed keeps its normal-match rate during Treasure Hours. The second number in the last column is the same prize at its normal rate, so the pair shows what a window is actually worth.
How the maths works
Each chest is an independent draw, so the chance of missing every time is (1 - p)n and the chance of at least one token is 1 - (1 - p)n, where p is 1 / 137,500 and n is your chest count. Reversing the formula gives the chest counts in the second table.
Every count in the second table comes from inverting that formula, and nothing in it is copied from a tracker. An earlier version of this page listed the counts a now-unreachable tracker printed alongside its own totals and called the agreement a check. That domain no longer resolves, so the comparison cannot be repeated and we have dropped the claim: the table now stands on the algebra alone, which is all it ever needed.
Treasure Hunters (limited-time mode, One Piece collab) runs 5 weeks from 2026-11-01 to 2026-12-05, and our 2026-11-13 snapshot caught it in week 2— weeks roll over at 14:00 UTC. Alongside the token roll the mode logs 11 prizes and 6 map pieces. 5 Week 1 prizes + 5 Week 2 prizes + the Pirate Shop token, which is listed as an every-week prize. The counter is a season tally, not a fixed pool: Week 3 adds 5 more when Epic reveals it on 2026-11-15, and older weeks' prizes may keep dropping after their week ends. Gizmos sit outside the prize log entirely.
Where these numbers come from
- Epic posted the whole ladder on the Fortnite Status account on X on 2026-11-07, after players threatened an FTC complaint over undisclosed odds. IGN, fnchesttracker.com and togame.io each reproduce the 1 in 137,500 normal-match rate unchanged, and IGN printed all seven rows, so the confidence on the ladder as a whole is primary.
- Treasure Hours (91,667) uses the 1.5x boost Epic gave as its own example. Epic said later windows may use different multipliers, and at least one did: a 2x window puts the token at 1 in 68,750, which togame.io's Treasure Hours column and two non-English reprints of the post both show. This calculator uses the 1.5x Epic table, so if you are farming inside a 2x window the number on screen is conservative.
- Chest types: treasure chests, rare chests, sprite chests and buried chests all roll the table, while ammo boxes, produce boxes, supply drops and loot cannons do not. fnchesttracker.com asks you to log treasure, rare and sprite chests; togame.io adds buried chests to that set and names what does not roll. Two community trackers agree; Epic has not published a chest-type table we could find.
- Still open: read the seven rates from Epic's in-game odds screen directly, rather than from @FortniteStatus reprints — no page here can show an Epic screenshot yet. That is the one gap this page cannot close — every figure above is Epic's, but it reaches us as a transcription three sources agree on rather than a screen we read ourselves.
- Probability tables are pure maths on the rates above, computed at build time from the live page data.
See how loadoutdex sources and dates every figure.
Questions
- Is there a pity timer on the Fortnite Pirate Shop token?
- No. Epic publishes a per-chest probability, which means every chest is an independent roll. Opening 100,000 chests does not move you closer to a guaranteed drop; it only raises the cumulative probability shown in the table above. Epic has separately confirmed that most Treasure rewards cannot be won twice by the same account, so these are first-copy odds — with gizmos as the stated exception.
- What are the odds of getting the Pirate Shop Access token in Fortnite?
- 1 in 137,500 per chest in a normal match, and 1 in 91,667 during Treasure Hours — the 1.5x boost Epic used as its own example. Epic said later windows may use a different multiplier, and at least one ran at 2x, which would put the token at 1 in 68,750.
- Are these drop rates official?
- They are Epic's numbers, published on the Fortnite Status account on X on 2026-11-07 after players threatened an FTC complaint over undisclosed odds. This page reads them from IGN, fnchesttracker.com and togame.io, because X is not reachable from the network that builds this site, so treat them as a faithful transcription rather than a screenshot. Every row matches across all of them.
- How many chests do I need to open for a 50% chance?
- About 95,308 chests at the normal rate, or 63,539 if you only open chests during Treasure Hours.
- Does the chest counter store my data?
- The counter saves your chest tally in this browser only, through localStorage. Nothing is uploaded, no account is required, and clearing site data removes the count.
Next: estimate your locker with the Collection Score, or browse the Fortnite hub.